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Colin's Weekly Update (27-July-10)
market update
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Commentary
03 Aug 2010
Projects to reduce carbon emissions are gaining ground in Russia, world’s largest crude producer:
Summary: Russia is opening the door for cooperative carbon reduction projects to proceed, creating o
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03 Aug 2010
Severe floods bottleneck iron and coal stocks, cut sugar and rice production:
Summary: Central and Southern China are currently experiencing their worst flooding since 1998. 
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28 Jul 2010
Rice surplus to widen but spoilage supports price:
Summary: Often overlooked by investors in commodity futures due to its illiquidity, rice offers valu
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Global Balance
Commodity
2009E
2010F
Alumina
8.5%
6.4%
Aluminum
4.0%
1.9%
Ammonia
2.9%
1.9%
Antimony
4.3%
2.3%
Arsenic
3.7%
2.4%
Asphalt
3.0%
1.1%
Avocados
3.1%
1.8%
Barley
0.6%
-1.7%
Bauxite
6.8%
2.2%
Beef
-1.6%
0.1%
Benzene
4.5%
2.9%
Beryllium
5.7%
4.9%
Bismuth
1.5%
-3.2%
Boron
4.0%
2.1%
Bromine
4.2%
2.3%
Butadiene
3.9%
2.2%
Butanol
4.1%
2.9%
Cadmium
2.2%
1.3%
Canola
-0.3%
1.0%
Carbon black
2.1%
2.0%
Cattle, feeder
1.2%
0.8%
Cattle, live
1.2%
0.8%
Caustic soda
1.0%
1.4%
Cement
2.1%
1.5%
Cesium
3.5%
3.1%
Chicken
0.8%
0.9%
Chlorine
2.6%
2.1%
Chromium
-0.7%
-1.0%
Coal, met
17.0%
10.8%
Coal, steam
1.1%
0.4%
Cobalt
2.0%
2.7%
Cocoa
-1.4%
0.8%
Coffee, all grades
-7.3%
-1.4%
Coffee, arabica
2.2%
12.3%
Coffee, robusta
2.2%
8.2%
Containerships
7.7%
9.0%
Copper
1.3%
2.4%
Corn
-0.6%
0.0%
Cotton
-9.2%
-2.7%
Crude oil
-3.2%
-2.7%
Diamonds
3.3%
3.4%
Diesel
-3.5%
-2.2%
Ethane
3.0%
1.0%
Ethanol
4.4%
3.7%
Ethylene
-1.2%
-2.0%
Feldspar
2.0%
2.2%
Fish Meal
-0.9%
-2.5%
Gallium
3.1%
1.1%
Gasoline
0.2%
-0.3%
Germanium
3.1%
2.9%
Glycerine
4.0%
3.0%
Gold
0.0%
0.1%
Graphite
2.5%
2.7%
Gypsum
3.6%
3.4%
Heating Oil
-3.5%
-2.2%
Helium
2.0%
2.0%
Hogs
3.2%
2.2%
Hydrochloric acid
3.0%
3.0%
Indium
-2.1%
-2.5%
Iodine
2.6%
2.1%
Iron ore
2.3%
-1.6%
Isopropanol
3.3%
2.8%
Jet-Kero
-3.5%
-2.2%
Lead
-0.4%
-1.3%
Lime
2.0%
2.0%
Lithium
-2.1%
-2.9%
LNG
2.8%
2.1%
LPGs
1.7%
1.4%
Lumber
6.0%
4.2%
Magnesium
0.5%
-1.3%
Manganese
0.8%
-2.0%
Mercury
4.0%
3.8%
Methanol
4.2%
2.9%
Mica
3.1%
2.9%
Milk
0.0%
0.0%
Molybdenum
2.0%
1.1%
Naphtha
1.9%
1.7%
Natural Gas
1.1%
0.2%
Nickel
-0.9%
-2.4%
Niobium
3.0%
2.2%
Nitrogen
2.8%
2.1%
Oats
-3.6%
-3.3%
Orange juice
0.4%
-2.5%
Oranges
-3.0%
-1.8%
Palladium
10.0%
5.5%
Peat
2.9%
3.1%
Perlite
2.2%
2.8%
Phosphate
3.3%
2.1%
Pipe, Seamless
8.6%
6.4%
Platinum
2.4%
-1.5%
Plywood
4.5%
3.9%
Polyethylene
4.0%
2.0%
Pork
0.1%
-0.3%
Potash
11.7%
0.4%
Polysilicon
3.9%
2.7%
Propylene
4.3%
2.0%
Pulp
3.6%
3.5%
Residual fuel oil
1.7%
1.0%
Rhodium
31.2%
19.2%
Rice
0.2%
1.8%
Rubber
3.6%
-0.9%
Rye
2.1%
-2.2%
Salmon
-3.4%
-3.7%
Selenium
3.7%
2.1%
Silica
1.9%
0.0%
Silicon
1.9%
-0.1%
Silver
0.0%
0.0%
Soda ash
4.3%
3.8%
Sorghum
0.7%
0.8%
Soybean Meal
0.0%
0.9%
Soybean Oil
-0.2%
-0.4%
Soybeans
9.7%
2.6%
Steel, crude
0.2%
-1.1%
Steel, stainless
2.0%
-0.5%
Strontium
2.2%
2.2%
Styrene
2.9%
1.9%
Sugar, all grades
-4.1%
1.2%
Sugar, raw
-4.1%
1.2%
Sugar, white
-4.1%
1.2%
Sulfur
7.2%
3.9%
Sulfuric acid
3.5%
3.0%
Talc
2.8%
2.0%
Tankers, clean
-2.0%
0.0%
Tankers, dirty
-3.0%
0.0%
Tea
-2.7%
-3.6%
Tellurium
4.1%
4.0%
Thallium
3.9%
3.3%
Thorium
3.8%
2.2%
Tin
4.8%
2.4%
Titanium
3.2%
2.8%
Titanium dioxide
3.1%
2.8%
Toluene
1.8%
1.1%
Tuna
13.8%
5.6%
Tungsten
1.0%
-1.2%
Turbines
3.0%
2.1%
Uranium
-31.8%
-30.5%
Vanadium
4.5%
4.6%
Wheat, all grades
4.4%
-0.3%
Wool
2.9%
2.7%
Xylene
1.9%
1.3%
Zinc
2.2%
0.9%
Zirconium
3.4%
3.6%
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